As of July 25, 2025, Tesla (TSLA) stock is experiencing significant volatility, particularly after its recent earnings report.
* Tesla traded at $317.60 on July 25th, up 4.03% from the previous session.
* However, the stock plunged over 8% in premarket trading following a "disappointing earnings update" and concerns over EV tax credits.
* The stock has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern.
* Through Wednesday's close (July 23), TSLA shares were 55% above their April low but had fallen 18% since the start of the year.
* Tesla has missed on earnings for two consecutive quarters, and its earnings are expected to fall 27% this year.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance: The stock recently encountered resistance near the upper trendline of its symmetrical triangle. Investors should monitor an overhead area near $365 for potential profit-taking.
* Support: Crucial support levels on Tesla's chart are around $292, $265, and $225. Selling below $292 could lead to a fall towards $265, and a breakdown below $265 could see the shares revisit $225.
Analyst Price Targets:
* Based on short-term price targets from 35 analysts, the average price target for Tesla is $297.86, representing a decline of 2.44% from the last closing price of $305.30 (as of a recent report). Forecasts range from a low of $115.00 to a high of $500.00.
* The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for Tesla is 2.87 on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), with 12 out of 41 recommendations being "Strong Buy."
* Trading Economics forecasts Tesla to be priced at $320.72 by the end of Q3 (which is roughly within the next two months).
Factors Influencing the Next Two Weeks:
* Post-Earnings Volatility: The immediate aftermath of the earnings report is likely to see continued volatility. Weak guidance and concerns about EV subsidies are weighing on the stock.
* Robotaxi and AI Developments: While recent earnings were disappointing for the core auto business, Elon Musk's statements about robotaxi rollout and the potential for a new political party (though less directly impacting stock price) could still generate speculative interest. However, analysts are looking for "hard proof" of scaling for the robotaxi system.
* Market Sentiment: Broader market trends and investor appetite for speculative growth stocks will also play a role.
* Technical Breakdown/Breakout: The symmetrical triangle pattern suggests a potential breakout or breakdown. Given the recent earnings miss and downward pressure, a breakdown below support levels is a possibility.
Overall Outlook for the Next Two Weeks:
Given the recent earnings miss, weak guidance, and ongoing concerns about EV sales and tax credits, the immediate technical forecast for Tesla is cautious, with potential for further downside in the short term. The stock has broken below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages in premarket trading, indicating bearish momentum.
While there may be short-term bounces (as seen on July 25th after the initial premarket plunge), investors should closely watch the mentioned support levels ($292, $265, $225). Any significant positive news regarding robotaxi deployment or a shift in market sentiment could provide a catalyst for an upward move towards the $365 resistance, but currently, the technical picture suggests vulnerability.
This is basedon research report only.
